The Delaware Gazette

Will we earn security in retirement?

Every year the trustees of the Social Secu­rity Sys­tem — offi­cially known as the Old-Age and Sur­vivors Insur­ance and the Dis­abil­ity Insur­ance trust funds or the OASI/DI trust funds — pro­vide their most recent esti­mates of the sol­vency of Social Secu­rity. Start­ing back in the mid-1980s, Social Secu­rity began col­lect­ing more in annual pay­ments from cur­rent work­ers than was paid out to retirees, pro­duc­ing a favor­able bal­ance in the Social Secu­rity Trust Fund, amount­ing to nearly $2.7 tril­lion in assets as of Dec. 31 of last year. At this very basic level, it may seem as though all is well.

Recent economic developments raise worldwide caution flags

Late last week and over the week­end, a flurry of devel­op­ments related to the near and longer term eco­nomic out­look took place, most of which could be a cause for concern.

Two-of-a-kind generally isn’t a winning hand

In the game of poker, one of the weak­est hands that a player can pos­si­bly draw is a pair. Not often a win­ning hand, unless every­one else has essen­tially noth­ing and is sim­ply oper­at­ing with a “high card” oppor­tu­nity to win. So, two-of-a-kind may be bet­ter than noth­ing, but just barely.

Europe’s economic woes may wash up on America’s shores

Europe is eco­nom­i­cally big — very big. The 17 nation euro-zone is approx­i­mately equal to the size of the U.S. econ­omy (depend­ing upon how val­u­a­tions are cal­cu­lated in terms of cur­rency con­ver­sions), and the more com­pre­hen­sive 27 nation Euro­pean Union (EU) is even big­ger still. Given the tremen­dous eco­nomic inter­de­pen­den­cies among coun­tries of the world, when an econ­omy as large as either of the above enti­ties begins to expe­ri­ence sig­nif­i­cant eco­nomic prob­lems, it is just a mat­ter of time until those dif­fi­cul­ties will be trans­mit­ted to the rest of the world.

China becoming more reliable economic player in world markets

Either by design or neces­sity, it seems China is finally becom­ing a more viable eco­nomic part­ner for the U.S. and other nations. Over the week­end, China’s cen­tral bank announced they would allow their cur­rency, the yuan, to trade freely in a wider range of val­ues than pre­vi­ously per­mit­ted. It is impor­tant to note that this devel­op­ment is quite dis­tinct from allow­ing the yuan to move com­pletely freely rel­a­tive to other currencies.

Chicken Littles emerge with latest jobs report

As quickly as pos­si­ble peo­ple should move to their home’s storm cel­lar or place them­selves in the bath­tub with a mat­tress on top so as to shield them­selves from the rapidly approach­ing eco­nomic storm. Or so the mes­sage would seem to be, accord­ing to many econ­o­mists, after the Labor Department’s “dis­ap­point­ing” labor mar­ket reports last Fri­day. For­tu­nately, the stock mar­ket was closed for Good Fri­day obser­vances so the ensu­ing panic was stalled for a few days.

No thanks, Mr. Jones, I prefer not to drink the Kool-Aid

On Nov. 18, 1978 mem­bers of the People’s Tem­ple in Guyana, led by Jim Jones, com­mit­ted mass sui­cide by drink­ing cyanide-laced Kool-Aid. This unfor­tu­nate episode rep­re­sented a vivid dis­play of what can hap­pen when peo­ple are lulled into a false sense of security/dependence and give up their indi­vid­ual decision-making capa­bil­i­ties to some­one who dic­tates to them what is in their best inter­ests. Sadly, had these 900-plus peo­ple not suc­cumbed to the destruc­tive, siren-like call of Jim Jones, their lives and fam­ily his­to­ries would not have ended so tragically.

Change can be good, but it is seldom painless

While in Colum­bus last week Pres­i­dent Obama sug­gested that those who oppose alter­na­tive energy sources might be con­sid­ered mem­bers of the “flat earth soci­ety,” much like peo­ple who opposed explo­ration by the likes of Christo­pher Colum­bus. In this instance, accord­ing to the pres­i­dent, those who cling to fos­sil fuels and ignore alter­na­tive energy sources are much like ostriches, plung­ing their heads into the ground and fail­ing to under­stand the need for change in any active, grow­ing and healthy economy.

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